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Scouter's Ebola Projection Update - 10/4/2014 - (Vanity)
Scouter | 10/4/2014 | Scouter

Posted on 10/04/2014 10:01:00 AM PDT by scouter

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To: onona

Do you know whether the vomiting passenger is African?

Someone who flew to Brussels from Liberia a week ago?


41 posted on 10/04/2014 11:49:02 AM PDT by Veto! (OpInions freely dispensed as advice)
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To: scouter
What model are you using? Looks like exponential trend. I've done a lot of forecasting, and were I doing this I'd use a Logistic for the forecast. It takes into account the number of existing cases as well as the number of people not yet infected. That would handle the "governor" function, since the pool of uninfected is the difference between the infected and the total population of a country, and declines as the number of infected cases rises. The differential equation involve the product of existing cases and not-yet-infected population.
42 posted on 10/04/2014 3:40:38 PM PDT by JoeFromSidney (Book: RESISTANCE TO TYRANNY. Available from Amazon.)
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To: scouter

Ebola Cases Surpass 8,000
October 8, 2014

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3213029/posts?page=1


43 posted on 10/08/2014 9:04:11 PM PDT by Ray76 (We must destroy the Uniparty or be destroyed by them.)
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To: scouter; LucyT

http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/the-ominous-math-of-the-ebola-epidemic/2014/10/09/3cad9e76-4fb2-11e4-8c24-487e92bc997b_story.html


44 posted on 10/10/2014 11:57:13 AM PDT by Brown Deer (Pray for 0bama. Psalm 109:8)
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UN envoy: Ebola cases doubling every 3-4 weeks
45 posted on 10/10/2014 11:59:27 AM PDT by Brown Deer (Pray for 0bama. Psalm 109:8)
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