There have been 26 outbreaks since Ebola emerged in 1976, all of them in Africa, and 25 of them ended in Africa, now we are in our 26th, and during all these decades and dozens of outbreaks, the total deaths are equal to about 2 days of AIDs deaths.
How do you numbers work if variables and new conditions, for instance Western medical and housing conditions, and educated populations become part of them?
Right now 9/30/14, it looks like Nigeria got control of and ended their outbreak, just like African nations have been doing for decades, how does that figure into your numbers?
Don’t you think your numbers are absurd?
Frankly, I think it depends on how much BS the population is fed about "hard to catch". The more complacent the population, the more likely the virus will spread, and the more rapidly it will do so.
Since antibiotics, we have become far more lax in hygiene as a population, despite hand sanitizers and the like.
Keep in mind, too that more complex systems can break down with the removal of a few key components, and the ripple effect on transportation and supply, on grocery deliveries, fuel distribution, electrical power, etc. could be profound. That might kill more people than the virus.
This is the first time the virus has gone wild in any major urban area, albeit those have been in Africa, but the opportunity for transmission of the disease increases as people are closer together, even in public conveyances (droplet range, fomites), elevators, escalators, etc.
I am not sure at all that the spiffines of our gadgetry will make a significant difference to the virus.