[yefragetuwrabrumuy]

Epidemics of this kind do not work like that. It has probably reached near its peak already. This can be said with some certainty because of several factors.

1) It is not yet pulmonary, transmitted by coughs and sneezes.

2) While people may be infected for just a few to 21 days before showing symptoms, they are only infectious to others when they are showing symptoms. This is a major flaw.

3) From showing symptoms to death is about 10 days, during half of which they are incapacitated. So while appearing very sick to others, they only have 5 days to infect others.

Put it together, and this means that if you stay away from sick people and things they have contaminated, you will probably not get the disease. While thousands will die before the public learns this lesson, they *will* learn it.

[scouter]

I know how epidemics work. I’ve studied them both academically and professionally. On what evidence do you base your assertion that it has already peaked? All the evidence I’ve seen says exactly the opposite. In fact, the rate of transmission has spiked in just the last two weeks.

[scouter]

The factors you cite, aside from being either outright wrong or at least misleading, in no way support your assertion that the epidemic has peaked, even if they were completely true as stated.

[justa-hairyape]

Cool. So we just have to stay away from hospitals.

[wafflehouse]

1) It is not yet pulmonary, transmitted by coughs and sneezes.

it is certainly spread in droplet form. coughing and sneezing is a great way to get droplets in the air. if it comes down to semantics, then this is a silly point to make

2) While people may be infected for just a few to 21 days before showing symptoms, they are only infectious to others when they are showing symptoms. This is a major flaw.

ok, what research are you getting this data from exactly? source please.

3) From showing symptoms to death is about 10 days, during half of which they are incapacitated. So while appearing very sick to others, they only have 5 days to infect others.

again, source please.

Put it together, and this means that if you stay away from sick people and things they have contaminated, you will probably not get the disease.

this is good advise. except, what happens when your kid gets sick and theres no room at the hospital?