AFC TIEBREAKER #3 OF MANY
BUFF VS. SD tiebreaker
BUFF has 2 non-conf losses, has advantage in CONF record
common games:
miami kc jax cin
BUFF 1-2 with 2 to play (jax mia)
SD 2-2 with 1 to play (kc)
COULD go to SOV
Buff vs. MIAMI
BUFF would have the sweep h2h vs MIA if BUFF beats MIA 12/22
Buff vs. NYJ
split h2h, BUFF has DIV rec advantage.
common:
uncommon is NYJ 0-1 with Oak remaining ... BUFF is 0-1 with JAX remaining. Tiebreaker to BUFF @ 8-8.
OAKLAND WOULD be formidable @ 8-8 with an 8-4 CONF rec ... but they play KC and DEN ...
AFC TIEBREAKER #4 OF MANY
TENN is less interesting at this point, because most assume a loss to DEN this week and that is a CONF loss (near fatal in the wildcard race).
we did TN vs. BALT above
TN vs. PT BUFF all have 2 non-conf losses, SD has only 1. MIA has adv over TN with 3 of their losses being non-conf, and TN has h2h over PITT & SD and nYJ
this weekend will clarify the TN SD MI PT situation. Because there will be losses for some of the 4.
TN vs. MIA, common
TN is 3-2
MIA is 3-0 with 2 to play (PT & NYJ)
TN vs. BUFF, common
TN is 2-2
BUFF is 1-3 BOTH with 1 to play (JAX for both)
THE 3-WAY TIE TN-BA-MI with equal CONF REC .... ?
balt vs mia common
balt: 4-3-2
mia: 3-2-4 all 9 games are NORTH & EAST
It is not clear how a “3-way common games” works. It might just go to SOV.