Red Sox fan here-—you just ruined my day.
Grady Little-—the stuff of nightmares.
.
Mears, who is Grady_Little?
Red Sox (RHP Jake Peavy) @ Rays (RHP Jeremy Hellickson) 8:37 pm ET
If Rays are going with Price in game 5, LHP Moore and RHP Archer are both available out the pen today. Hellickson was HORRIBLE in September.
commentary from “eric mvan”:
“Hellickson’s season breaks down neatly into four chunks.
First, an absolutely bipolar phase of 14 starts, four great, ten awful: game scores of 71 (against us) and 76 back-to-back in his 2nd and 3rd starts, and 69 in each of his 10th and 13th starts, but 21 to 46 in the others. Overall ERA, 5.67.
Next, a 7 game stretch with a 2.07 ERA. That one started against us.
Then a 6 game stretch with a 9.00 ERA. His best game score in this stretch, 44, is worse than his worst in the previous, 49.
Finally, September, with a very good start against the Angels, a meh one against us, and bad ones against the Rangers and Blue Jays. His ERA as a starter was 5.50, so this may be the same as phase 1.
That they’re going with him suggests that they have some saberemtric reasons why they think he matches up well against us.
I have to do some errands, but when I get back I’ll try to run the components and BABIP luck analyses on those stretches (including separating out the good from the bad of the bipolar phases to see if they match the good and bad stretches) and maybe even look at some pitch/fx data.”
http://forum.soxprospects.com/thread/1320/red-rays-alds-game-thread
“It seems to me that the Rays could well start Hellickson and dump him for Moore at some point early in the game to turn the entire Redsox lineup around. The Redsox are designed for platooning in order to optimize performance. This approach can be used against them in this instance and I bet it will. They hopefully put up some good numbers against Hellickson early.”