Let me be the first to observe one thing in this article — This author seems to confuse dominance in the mobile market with dominance in the OVERALL computer market.
Unless someone tells me that Servers, desktops and laptops are going to disappear from the scene in the near future, I find it hard to accept his thesis.
I mean Personal computer usage may be moving on to the tablet and phone, but businesses, where the bulk of serious computer usage continues to reside, are not moving so fast.
And note — Open Source OS and others have been on the scene for over a decade.... I’m not seeing a mass movement towards open source at all...
That's the point.
Mobile now drives the overall computer market, since this is the vehicle (via handsets and tablets) by which the VAST majority of end users will get there computing chores accomplished.
About a year ago, those toting tablets and smartphones only were about 50%.
Well, I had a meeting last week and not a single person brought their laptop to the meeting. Everybody was on tablets and smartphones and none of them were running Windows. It was either iOS or Android. Bringing laptops to the conference table now appears to be a thing of the past.
In a similar vein, nobody seems to use desktops at my work anymore. Laptops rule the cubicles these days and they go home with the employees at night. Laptops are the new desktops and as BYOD takes hold, more and more MacBook Pros are showing up in the workplace. For portability, people are using tablets and smartphones.
Microsoft still has huge market share but they need to be worried. That's probably why Steve Ballmer got kicked to the curb. They need to make changes and they need to make them fast.
Apache powers about 50% of servers, IIS about 20%.
Servers, desktops and laptops will not disappear - but they will be running Android. Mostly because it doesn’t get the ‘circle of death’ and have to be restarted every few days. Windows will be dead within a few years.