Well there are 14 players left including the 3 on RI.
The merge can take place at 12 — so they don’t need to send anyone else to RI. All they need to do is eliminate 2 and send 1 back into the game. At this point I give the advantage to Laura M as the 1 returning.
At the merge there might be the veteran alliance of TinaMonicaKatieVytasArasLauraB versus the rookie alliance of HaydenCalebCieraLauraMTysonGervase — with Tyson and Vytas and Gervase able to float between the two alliances pledging their undying loyalty to both alliances at the same time to advance further in the game.
The floaters have a natural advantage at this point in this game — particularly Tyson and Vytas. I can see those two worming their way to the final three with someone like a Monica who wins it all.
I don’t see Tyson’s team losing next week’s IC.
I’m looking for Laura B or Vytas to be going home.