[Sherman Logan]

Taleb says the 9/11 was such an event but many of my colleagues disagree because some of them did see 9/11 coming.

The problem here is that I've yet to see a dated publication prior to 9/11 warning of the danger of airliners being flown into skyscrapers. Somebody may indeed have foreseen this, but I suspect its mostly hindsight genius.

The closest I've seen to prediction of this disaster was in a Tom Clancy novel, when a Japanese radical flies a plane into the Capitol during the State of the Union address. But that was a cargo plane.

[KosmicKitty]

The problem here is that I've yet to see a dated publication prior to 9/11 warning of the danger of airliners being flown into skyscrapers. Somebody may indeed have foreseen this, but I suspect its mostly hindsight genius.

Nothing public. Thee are guys who used to work for the alphabet agencies.