“Politicians know an election is due in 14,if they vote the wrong way it will be their last election.”Right. They're quaking in their Guccis.
In the 2012 elections, all 435 House seats were contested.
42 incumbents retired, leaving 393 seats to be contested by incumbents.
13 incumbents were defeated in the primary elections
22 incumbents were defeated in the general election (10 D and 12 R)
358 incumbents reelected of the 393 who were running
2012 Reelection rate: 91%, about 2% lower than the historical average since 1954
The 91% House reelection rate for 2012 is the exact same reelection rate for the Senate this year, where 21 of 23 incumbents were reelected
Gallup et.al. claim their polls show Congress has a single-digit approval rating.
In fact, they have a 90+% approval rating; that’s how many get re-elected.