Just saying McCain got more than Romney doesn’t mean anyone stayed home. We just have fewer conservative voters. 2.5 million have died each year since 2004, and well over half of those were age 75 and above (3/4ths were age 65 and above). These were depression era people that tended to vote and tended to vote conservatively. We’re talking about 18 million people. Figure a voting rate of 60% (10.8 million) and an R/D ratio of 54/46, and you have 5-6 million (4 million minimum) that probably voted for Bush in 2004 that didn’t vote for Romney. The younger voters replacing the older ones are voting in large part for D’s.
There’s no way conservatives stayed home in droves. I’m beginning to doubt that many stayed home in 2008. We have a different electorate and we’ve largely lost the ability to do anything about it. Immigration reform and voter id laws during the 2004-8 years would have helped tremendously, but that’s pretty much dead now.
Much like the pre election polling analysis, the post-election analysis by FReepers is about 5-10% out of touch with reality.
RE: . We just have fewer conservative voters. 2.5 million have died each year since 2004, and well over half of those were age 75 and above (3/4ths were age 65 and above). These were depression era people that tended to vote and tended to vote conservatively.
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Well, this does not bode well for the country’s future does it? If conservatives are mostly older and dying out and fewer and fewer younger breed are replacing them, what does that tell us about the direction of this country?
If Demography is destiny, then this country will be : MORE LIBERAL, MORE HISPANIC and MORE EUROPE-LIKE.