Evangelical or Christian Conservatives refused to come out and vote for a Mormon. Thats all there is to it. [FryingPan101, post #31]
There is one red-blue dot geographical map -- up by a Mormon -- The Impact of Mitts Mormonism: Bible Belt Blue -- who did note a swath of blue running from Louisiana to the east all the way to North Carolina.
It seems particularly prominent in Mississippi, Alabama, and South Carolina.
Apparently -- at least the contention is made -- that in these states, there were a significant # of white Evangelicals who "stayed home."
The Lds poster concedes that it had no electoral college impact...given that "These are folks who knew their state was deep red, for the most part. So staying away from the polls wouldnt change the outcome of the election."
Now, if it's true, then Evangelicals in other parts of the country more than made up for their absence since more voted in 2012 than either in 2008 or 2004.
So, I would say that if any claims want to be made about "stay at home" Evangelical voters, only the Deep South and Atlantic Coast (southeast) appears to show this evidence -- but not Florida.
I admire your ambitious research. I admit I commented based only on gut feeling and what I experienced as a result of what I saw happening in small circles of evangelicals whose activities were transparent. I stand corrected regarding the broader charge I made.