Posted on 11/02/2012 6:35:25 AM PDT by mrs9x
Leaners it is 48.4 for Romney, and 47.6 for Obama. So iti s a little misleading to say that it is 48-48.
We will have to see what happens when some of these favorable post-Sandy Obama days fall off the chart.
If the mainstream media were covering Sandy, in the same way they covered Katrina, Romney would be surging in New York, NJ, and CT.
2 words:
Leftist media.
obama is no carter... he is much worse.
LLS
Thanks... Feeling better. Although a little queasy with horse race now. :)
I have not heard about Ras being one day behind. I know his system has been off a bit due to storm (editorial/publishing times, etc).
I am anxiously awaiting Gallup. Fingers crossed!
This is something of a myth: Reagan was down in one poll’s sampling by a large margin, while other polls at the time clearly showed what was going to happen that night.
The Leftists must laugh their collective A$$es of at some of you folks. Do yourself a favor and look at anymore polls until after the election. I don’t think your fragile self esteem can handle it! Oh, and while you’re at it, why don’t you grow a set of balls. They come in handy when one wants to act like a real man.
Freaking sad!
You nailed it. The polls are all over the place because nobody knows which turnout model to use.
If you assume that Obama will have the same turnout that he had in 2008, then he’s ahead (CBS, Reuters, NY Times, etc.. assume that). If you assume that we are back to the historical turnout model for presidential elections, then Obama is behind by 4-5 points.
And if we assume the the turnout model will be the same as in 2010 then we’ll have a Romney landslide.
According to these numbers, and by my calculations, Romney gets 51.2% of the vote.
Reagan only got 50.7% of the vote in 1980.
Romney will do better than that, just wait.
Ok this really sucks. So now Obama wins reelection because of a storm that hits the east coast. Great.
It is sad... and it shows how easily Americans are manipulated. When one goes into a fight... any kind of fight... if one goes into that fight thinking that they will lose... they will lose. If they are confident that they can or will win... their odds increase in a huge way. I would rather go into battle with my mind right and committed to the win. I will do just that... and I feel compassion for those so beaten down that they can be demoralized so easily. Mitt will either win or lose... and worry according to JESUS will not add one second to your life... so go forth with confidence and determination.
LLS
Hi... Where did you come up with those numbers (to the decimal point)? Just curious, because my math is not able to replicate.
>>>Romney gets republicans 88-9, democrats 11-86, and independents 47-44.<<<
>>>According to these numbers, and by my calculations, Romney gets 51.2% of the vote.<<<
Using what D/R/I?
Can't have it both ways. Either this poll is sound, or Rasmussen doesn't give a s--t about his reputation for accuracy. Which is it I wonder.....
>>>According to these numbers, and by my calculations, Romney gets 51.2% of the vote.<<<
Using what D/R/I?
Using total votes for Romney (88+11+47) / total votes (88+9+11+86+47+44). That equals 146/285.
“Romney is no Reagan”
Yep. And that is part of the reason Romney probably going to lose. People can sniff out a phoney. In 80, many people did not like Reagan or parts of his philosophy, but they knew where he stood and respected that.
If the 0bama campaign had stayed on the ‘flip with Mitt’ approach and Barry had not choomed before the first debate, I doubt the race would be this close.
Before anyone calls me a dem troll, please review all of the anti-Romney posts that were here during the primaries. If we are honest, I doubt Romney would be in the top 10 people we would really want to see as president.
Who said this poll isn’t legit? It’s clear that Romney has lost momentum from the storm.
And this storm may go down as the most important storm in the history of our nation in how it impacted the state of our country forever - for generations not even born.
With that said, the poll is a snap shot in time (i.e. Obozo walking around with his bomber jacket that’s two sizes too big for his feminine shoulders).
I think by Monday, the race gets back to a Romney lead (2-3), as the unemployment number settles in ($6 trillion and 4 years later, the UE is worse). Furthermore, Libya is dipping out, and the NY/NJ corridor is starting to get livid with the Feds.
oh I see - the numbers that were added [88, 11, and 47] were percentages though. Looking at it like that, there would be 15 votes missing [3 from his R, 3 from his D, and 9 from his I.]
So assuming the missing 15 are split evenly, RR would still get more 153.5 to 146.5.
But I don’t think the D/R/I is even so I think the original percentages can be used to make more precise a prediction.
Using 35/36/29 the numbers give 52-48. I’d take that.
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