I happen to think that the analyses here:
http://www.unskewedpolls.com/2012electorate.cfm
and here:
http://www.unskewedpolls.com/unskewed_projection_2012%20president_02.cfm
have the described situation precisely as it is.
Romney: 53.974%, Obama 46.026% nationally. No one with this margin of victory in the national popular vote has ever lost in the electoral college.
Dunno, the Unskewed Polls site seems sketchy to me what the heck is QStarNews, anyway? Never remotely heard of this outfit before.