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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA; xsmommy

O is up or tied with R in the Ohio polls, but those are undersampling Republican turnout.

Your 3 keys for watching Ohio on election night:

1. the four swing counties: watch Lake, Wood, Hamilton, & Columbiana. Lake will have the earlies and absentees calculated by 7:35 pm on their website, and they’ll wind up mirroring the state to being about +2% for R from the state total.

2. The Blue Menace: Can R keep the margin of loss in Cuyahoga county (greater Cleveland) below 200k if so, it looks good.

3. The Red Southwest: Can he win Butler, Hamilton, Claremont, and Warren (this is greater Cincinnati) by 150k if so it should be good for a win.


17 posted on 10/22/2012 7:59:13 AM PDT by NeoCaveman ("If I had a son he'd look like B.O.'s lunch" - Rin Tin Tin)
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To: NeoCaveman

saw over the weekend that Romney moved campaign staff to PA, which has to be a positive sign.


33 posted on 10/22/2012 8:30:23 AM PDT by xsmommy
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To: NeoCaveman

I am praying.


38 posted on 10/22/2012 8:41:41 AM PDT by tioga
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