I am a platinum member so I see his samples.
He uses a D+3 (D 39 R 36 I 31) sample.
Well, lots of questions will be answered on election day. But, this campaign season has seen so many polls which seem to be doctored, to make it seem that Obama is more popular than he really is. Nov. 6th will reveal the truth.
(Rasmussen) Summary of Party Affiliation (Sep 30: R-36.8; D-34.2; Other-29.0)
H/T xzins
Unskewed Polls best place to look. It is +3 D. Make sure younlook there after next debate to see if the skewer changes on most polls. When Obama was leading by a lot the skewer was +7 to +13 (one +17). After we started pointing out that to justify their skewer the DemoRat turnout would have to either equal or exceed the 2008 turnout the skewer drooped to around +3 and now Romney is tied or slightly leading
Here’s the direct link to the Rasmussen archive with month-to-month party affiliation from 2004 to present.