i would place a bet on that NOW
how much would you win if you bet $1000?
At these odds with Intrade, $4,860 return for $1,000 stake. At best odds currently available with bookmakers, $5,500 return for $1,000 stake.
That’s on a simple bet for Romney to beat Obama. The corresponding return for a bet on Obama to win would be around $1,150 for a $1,000 stake (these figures include your stake money, thus a profit of only $150).
I know which looks like better value to me right now...