Plus 12 and he is getting killed?
He’s not.
Stats are here: http://tinyurl.com/bvfsb7u
In my analysis, I make three assumptions relevant to this thread: 1) No R will vote for Obama; 2) No D will vote for Romney; and 3) independents will split
You can see the implications of this if there is, indeed, a +2 Indie advantage for Romney, let alone a +12. If it's +12, he would win OH by 10 points.