I’m not a subscriber, so I don’t get the details, but this poll puzzles me. Is it a cumulative average of these state polls, or is it a synopsis of each individual state poll? In other words, the average doesn’t help us if Romney is losing FL and VA (which I don’t think he is) but his poll numbers in CO and IA are high enough to move the average up. Am I making sense?
I also do not know the specifics of this poll.
It is however virtually identical to the nationwide poll from yesterday.
Just thought I’d post it, since I hadn’t seen a swing state tracking poll from Rasmussen before this.
As much as I respect Ras, if we don’t know how he arrives at his final number, we can trust this poll no more than we trust an RCP average. Sure, Ras will be working off of good numbers instead of throwing garbage into the mix like RCP, but like you said, if Romney were losing FL and VA, it wouldn’t matter where else he was up.
If you get that answer ping me please.