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To: Mrs.Z

Bradley effect

Tom Bradley speaking at AIDS Walk LA at the Paramount Studios lot in 1988
The Bradley effect, less commonly called the Wilder effect,[1][2] is a theory proposed to explain observed discrepancies between voter opinion polls and election outcomes in some United States government elections where a white candidate and a non-white candidate run against each other.[3][4][5] The theory proposes that some voters will tell pollsters they are undecided or likely to vote for a black candidate, while on election day they vote for the white candidate. It was named after Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley, an African-American who lost the 1982 California governor’s race despite being ahead in voter polls going into the elections.[6]

Good call.


21 posted on 09/02/2012 7:48:17 AM PDT by Calusa (The pump don't work cause the vandals took the handles. Quoth Bob Dylan.)
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To: Calusa

You also have people invested in OBAMA who may change at the last minute...

This is similar to 1980....the press told us Carter was Great and Reagan was just an actor....I think the RATS are hoping for a big Mittens mistake...


22 posted on 09/02/2012 7:54:19 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Calusa; Mrs.Z
While I do hear you on the Bradley effect there were many of us here thinking that it would apply in 2008 regarding the polls. however, the polls were right and McCain lost.

Now there's a lot of reasons for that and intensely bad press coverage on McCain versus a fawning, bootlicking Obama-loving press corps had a lot to do with it, 2008 was a reverse-Bradley. People voted for the black guy to look cool and non-racist.

Of course this year, that dog won't hunt, so maybe your Bradley effect will apply. Personally I think the media just outright lies and the REAL polls are looking real good for R&R but they're just not telling us.

32 posted on 09/02/2012 9:00:25 AM PDT by Alas Babylon!
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