No way it’s going to LA. That would require a significant degradation of the trough coming down through the midwest, and if that happened, we’d likely see a TX touchdown.
There’s not much wiggle room with the midwestern trough. It either exists or it doesn’t. It’s currently parked across the northern Gulf coast. It would have to degrade or turn into a warm front and regress back across the plains, and the likelihood of that happening with the Gulf being as warm as it is would be nearly impossible.
I heard that it will degrade some when it hits the mountains in cuba, dominica? I am anxious to see the next tract forecast at 5pm....if eye is even more West, then it’s going to AL, Ms or LA IMHO.