“As goes MO, so goes the nation.”
Not necessarily.
This “state of the race” gives reasons for concern — particularly in the light that the numbers are coming from Rove’s site.
Add up the “solid” Obama states (179 electoral votes) and the “lean Obama” states (101 electoral votes), and you get 280 — fully 10 more than needed to win.
Most troubling is Ohio, where Obama continues to hold a modest five percentage point lead. Obama may be able to win without Ohio, but without Ohio, Romney hasn’t a chance.
Also troubling is that Sherrod Brown leads the Republican candidate for the Senate. To me, this indicates that Obama’s lead is “more than personal”, and indicates a general “trend towards the democrats” in that state for this election cycle.
Romney has a chance, but he can’t win without some real movement toward our side in the battleground states.
I’m hoping to see that movement soon. But right now, I just don’t see that much.
Sorry for the pessimism, but that’s how I see it.
Obama is not up 5 in Ohio, and he’s well below 50 %. Obama would probably need to pour almost all his resources in Ohio to win and that is still not likely. In the senate, Mandel is still a relative unknown compared to a sitting senator. We’ll see how that one shapes up, but it brown is something like 44%. Not good for an incumbent.