[randita]

Check rothenbergpoliticalreport.com for some analysis.

[randita]

Forgot to mention, realclearpolitics.com usually has the latest polls and poll averages. But it’s early in the process, so there may not be polls for every race and the polls may not be that recent. The primary process is not even complete in some states.

[Vigilanteman]

The left-leaning New York Times which actually does a fairly credible job on election analysis has 46 senate seats rated as safe, continuing or leaning GOP and and equal number for the Jackass party.

They say control of the senate will come down to results in eight toss-up states which I, in turn, are ranking in order of likelihood of a GOP win as follows:

1. Missouri
   
2. Wisconsin
   
3. Nevada
   
4. Massachusetts
   
5. Montana
   
6. Virginia
   
7. Maine
   
8. Hawaii

Personally, I think the GOP wins everything from Virginia and above for a 52-48 split. I also think the GOP would loose Massachusetts and probably even Wisconsin if the Jackass Party didn't have laughably bad candidates.

Further, I also predict the GOP loses Hawaii even with a great candidate in former governor Linda Lingle, given the abject stupidity of that electorate. Frankly, I think we have a better chance to flip Pennsylvania.

People also may think I am ranking Montana too low, given the conservative nature of the state. However, the incumbent Tester, has taken great pains to distance himself from the national party and is outspokenly pro-gun. The only reason the race is even competitive is because he is running against a high profile Republican.

Note that while the New York Times has updated their state-by-state presidential analysis quite recently, the U.S. Senate analysis hasn't been updated since April.

[submarinerswife]

I want to see the differences in poll numbers before and after the atrocity of Obama Care was up held.

I am thinking the back lash will be monumental in Nov.

[cripplecreek]

We don’t have a nominee till August in Michigan so the race won’t really tighten till then. Personally I think Debbie Stabenow may be done. Pete Hoekstra is already beating her up over her support of Obamatax.

[demsux]

McCaskill (d-mo) is a goner.

[hoosiermama]

Asked the same question....Best chart I've found is on wikipedia. FR will not allow it to be linked.

It give each seat up for re-election. Who the candidates are, a link to their websites. etc.

[hoosiermama]

put “Wikipedia 2012 senate race” in search...Here is an outline of what they have. They are live links on the site.

4 Overview of races 4.1 Democrats/Independents retiring 4.1.1 Joe Lieberman of Connecticut (Independent)
4.1.2 Daniel Akaka of Hawaii
4.1.3 Ben Nelson of Nebraska
4.1.4 Jeff Bingaman of New Mexico
4.1.5 Kent Conrad of North Dakota
4.1.6 Jim Webb of Virginia
4.1.7 Herb Kohl of Wisconsin

4.2 Democrats/Independents seeking re-election 4.2.1 Dianne Feinstein of California
4.2.2 Tom Carper of Delaware
4.2.3 Bill Nelson of Florida
4.2.4 Ben Cardin of Maryland
4.2.5 Debbie Stabenow of Michigan
4.2.6 Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota
4.2.7 Claire McCaskill of Missouri
4.2.8 Jon Tester of Montana
4.2.9 Bob Menendez of New Jersey
4.2.10 Kirsten Gillibrand of New York
4.2.11 Sherrod Brown of Ohio
4.2.12 Bob Casey, Jr. of Pennsylvania
4.2.13 Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island
4.2.14 Bernie Sanders of Vermont (Independent)
4.2.15 Maria Cantwell of Washington
4.2.16 Joe Manchin of West Virginia

4.3 Republicans retiring or defeated in primary 4.3.1 Jon Kyl of Arizona
4.3.2 Richard Lugar of Indiana
4.3.3 Olympia Snowe of Maine
4.3.4 Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas

4.4 Republicans seeking re-election 4.4.1 Scott Brown of Massachusetts
4.4.2 Roger Wicker of Mississippi
4.4.3 Dean Heller of Nevada
4.4.4 Bob Corker of Tennessee
4.4.5 Orrin Hatch of Utah
4.4.6 John Barrasso of Wyoming