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1 posted on 05/12/2012 11:53:46 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: Signalman

x Government spending
the economy has not exited the “Recession”


2 posted on 05/12/2012 12:20:34 PM PDT by HangnJudge
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To: Signalman
When you have unreported inflation and massive debt spending (counted as GDP), the numbers are meaningless anyway.

I'm sure that the German stock market and GDP were going through the roof (measured in deutchmarks) during the hyperinflation of the Wiemar Republic.

3 posted on 05/12/2012 12:28:49 PM PDT by SampleMan (Feral Humans are the refuse of socialism.)
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To: Signalman
Sound surprising? What most people don't understand is that recessions often begin when gross domestic product is still showing positive growth.

Four of the past six recessions started during a quarter when GDP was growing, as did 72% of all recessions in the past 94 years .

How can that be? The answer is that expansions end -- and recessions begin -- at the peak of the business cycle, after which the economy begins to contract.

Sounds like they are playing word games with quantization of when data is collected. During the quarter when the recession starts it could start in the first, second or third month. Unless the drop is in the first month of the quarter there will be some growth during the first quarter of a recession.

A bigger concern is that the recession is based on the real GDP, which is the nominal GDP minus the inflation rate. I believe that the inflation rate is intentionally understated thus we may already be into that recession.

5 posted on 05/12/2012 12:35:04 PM PDT by KarlInOhio (You only have three billion heartbeats in a lifetime.How many does the government claim as its own?)
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To: Signalman
Yes, U.S. GDP is still rising, according to the latest reports. But that doesn't mean we've dodged a new recession.

That is because the economy isn't growing on its own, but by borrowing foreign money to pay for unemployment benefits and make work jobs. Obama has managed to improve the numbers through borrowing, but the fact he's still borrowing shows he hasn't fixed the problems.

6 posted on 05/12/2012 1:32:05 PM PDT by TwelveOfTwenty (With choices like Palin, Cain, and Bachmann, what could go wrong? Now we know.)
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