Invest 90 in the Gulf of Mexico

NHC/NOAA & Wunderground ^ | 5 February 2012 | NHC/NOAA & Jeff Masters

[NautiNurse]

We interrupt Super Bowl Sunday to bring you News of the Weird Weather...

The first Super Sunday Tropical Invest in history formed this morning in the Yucatan Channel between Mexico and Cuba, and is slowly becoming more organized as it moves northeast towards Southwest Florida. The new disturbance, dubbed Invest 90L by NHC late this morning, has a modest but growing area of heavy thunderstorms near its center. Visible satellite imagery shows a pronounced spin at middle levels of the atmosphere, and 90L may be able to close off a surface circulation if it can find 24 more hours of marginally favorable conditions.

Jeff Masters gives Invest 90 a 20% chance of developing into a tropical depression. Both the GFS and ECMWF models predict that the shear will remain below 25 knots through Monday, so there is some potential for continued development of 90L as it moves northeast towards South Florida. On Monday afternoon or evening, the storm will merge with a cold front and move over South Florida, bringing heavy rains of 1 - 3 inches and sustained winds of 20 - 25 mph.

[NautiNurse]

We customarily check the weather in Winter Paradise when making the Monday morning tee time. But I was thoroughly surprised to see the familiar "uh oh" satellite signature over the southern Gulf of Mexico in early February. It's been unseasonably warm in Florida lately, but geez Louise!

[NautiNurse]

Heads up Florida...we may be in for a little February surprise. It is
notably warm and humid on the Florida Gulf coast this afternoon
while the NHC is remarkably quiet.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[Gabz]

YIKES........

So much for your Tee time :(

[who knows what evil?]

Teach you to vote for Romney... :-)

[Nachoman]

Didn’t the gulf get the memo that hurricane season is over?

[PeteB570]

Ha!

A storm flag warning on Feb 5th.

Is this the earliest you’ve ever pinged one out?

[Rushmore Rocks]

Thanks for the ping. Rather odd this time of year.....as is our weather in the Black Hills.

[blam]

Boy O Boy...should have listened to Algore, eh?

[blam]

Boy O Boy...should have listened to Algore, eh?

[NautiNurse]

Is this the earliest you’ve ever pinged one out?

Absolutely. I recall one in early April, but February is nuts.

[NautiNurse]

So much for your Tee time :(

Eeesh...just bought a new bag and had three new clubs shortened to size. Was really looking forward to trying them out. We'll wait and see if we can sneak in a few holes just after dawn tomorrow. Hoping...

[NautiNurse]

[NautiNurse]

Here's a new NHC graphic product, click to zoom:

[Ditter]

Well blow my dress up!!!!!! A hurricane in Feburary, who woudda thunk it!

[rodguy911]

My daughter just called said it has rained all day in Key West and 90% chance for tomorrow.Strange at best.

[who knows what evil?]

It is February 5th, and there is absolutely NO SNOW on the ground across central and south New Hampshire...thank you for GW, Al...I HATE frickin' snow.

What a wonderful winter.

[scottteng]

Gulf water temps too cold despite the warmish weather for this storm to be a power house

[Fawn]

WOW.....thanks...

[rodguy911]

yeah 79-80 off the yucatan cooler here i am sure i’ll look it up.

[rodguy911]

75-76 degree water off the Keys,I don’t see a storm developing.