Five candidates relatively tightly bunched in the 20-10% range: Romney, Gingrich, Bachmann, Perry, and Santorum. (I do not count Paul, whose numbers are artificial, or Huntsman, who simply does not connect with voters at all.) Bachmann should be doing better in Iowa. I see her as having the least chance of the five at the nomination. One or both of the Ricks could move up. When we get down to three serious candidates, i.e., when a couple of the lower tier drop out, things will become clearer. Maybe by mid-February we’ll get down to a clear top two, Romney and . . . Perry? If I were placing a bet, I’d say Romney will end up with the nomination.
There should be four tickets out of Iowa this time as Paul is not likely to have long-term viability.
We'll see, there are always surprises.
My prediction is that Bachmann is on her way down and Santorum may be upticking a bit. Newt may be struggling and on his way down.
Yea, it's up for grabs.