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Chinese 2,485 year tree ring study shows natural cycles control climate, temps may cool til 2068
JoNova ^ | December 8th, 2011 | Joanne

Posted on 12/08/2011 9:18:50 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach

click here to read article


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1 posted on 12/08/2011 9:19:10 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: TigerLikesRooster; landsbaum; Signalman; NormsRevenge; steelyourfaith; Lancey Howard; ...

fyi


2 posted on 12/08/2011 9:20:39 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Clearly, Joanne fails to understand the relationship between Tibetans driving SUVs 2,500 years ago and the devastating effect that had on the climate back then. The human race was completely WIPED OUT as the result of those irresponsible ancient Tibetans and, today, it’s the computers conducting all of these online discussions!!!


3 posted on 12/08/2011 9:42:23 PM PST by DustyMoment (Congress - Another name for white collar criminals!!)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

The main reason this is important is because of the degree to which Mann relies upon (tweaked) tree ring studies to “support” his claims.


4 posted on 12/08/2011 9:45:31 PM PST by Carry_Okie (The Democrats are and always have been the Party of the Extremely Rich, the Party of Slavery.)
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To: DustyMoment

LOL!


5 posted on 12/08/2011 9:46:38 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; All
This post is subject to correction by a REAL mathematician!

What I think this means is that a Chinese scientist applied an advanced form of differential calculus to multiple gradients of change in tree rings from 2500 year old tress and published his derivative predictions.

And they prove correct by observation.

Is that correct?

6 posted on 12/08/2011 9:50:15 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; Genesis defender; golux; proud_yank; Bockscar; grey_whiskers; WL-law; ...
Thanx for the ping Ernest_at_the_Beach !

 


Beam me to Planet Gore !

7 posted on 12/08/2011 9:55:11 PM PST by steelyourfaith (If it's "green" ... it's crap !!!)
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To: Mariner
Beats me....I was trying to figure out the figure #2.

Also found that WUWT has this Story up :

In China, there are no hockey sticks

There are 223 comments.

There always good comments ot WUWT.

Will try to look thru them.

8 posted on 12/08/2011 9:58:15 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Mariner
From the comments at WUWT:

******************************************EXCERPT***************************************

crosspatch says:

December 7, 2011 at 10:42 pm

Please keep in mind that tree rings will only show trends in summer temperatures and then it will only show early summer — June and July. The main factors in tree rings are the onset of summer growth and June/July temperatures. The onset of growth is generally constrained by when the snow melts. So a late slow melt can delay initiation of growth for the year and reduce the overall size of the annual ring for that year.

http://academic.engr.arizona.edu/HWR/Brooks/GC572-2004/readings/vaganov-nature-siberia-tree-snow.pdf

But generally, summer temperatures will trend with general climate, though not always. Since 1998 in the continental US, for example, summer temperatures are flat while winter temperatures have been plummeting. Overall annual temperatures are in decline but summer temperatures are flat. Tree rings in North America probably do not show the decline that the instrument record does in annual average temperature observations show (NCDC’s website).

9 posted on 12/08/2011 10:01:04 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Mariner
And:

***********************************EXCERPT**********************************

Kasuha says:

December 7, 2011 at 10:51 pm

Fourier analysis on time series may be a lot of fun but until physical background of identified cycles is demonstrated it’s not more than just playing with numbers with zero predictive potential.

10 posted on 12/08/2011 10:03:46 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Never mind what actual trees say, we have computer models.


11 posted on 12/08/2011 10:29:51 PM PST by faucetman
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

bump tree rings and weather trends


12 posted on 12/08/2011 10:45:30 PM PST by Taffini ( Mr. Pippen and Mr. Waffles do not approve and neither do I)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Break out the extra blankets and rum mateys.... Hmmmmm. now where is the wonder boy from Penn State on this......


13 posted on 12/08/2011 11:19:02 PM PST by Marine_Uncle (Honor must be earned.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Base upon the charts shown I'm ready to make a prediction about the future climate. Here goes and you can write this down:
One can expect minor changes in both directions and periods of little change either way. The amplitude of said changes will be greater at times than those before and after for some time. This hard hitting and incisive prediction has a 99% chance of being confidently held.
What can I do? You ask.
Pack a rain coat, swimsuit, parka, and sunscreen when going to Tibet.
14 posted on 12/09/2011 4:11:16 AM PST by count-your-change (You don't have to be brilliant, not being stupid is enough.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Did anyone e-mail this to Al Gore yet? I am still seeking his answer to my question of ‘What caused the ice age?’, but he didn’t answer me.


15 posted on 12/09/2011 4:38:49 AM PST by ExCTCitizen (Cain/West 2012....what would the RACISTS LIBERALS say???)
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To: SirKit

Tree ring Climate ping!


16 posted on 12/09/2011 6:57:08 AM PST by SuziQ
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

We must be having global warming, it’s not freezing down here today!


17 posted on 12/09/2011 6:59:16 AM PST by SouthTexas (You cannot bargain with the devil, shut the government down.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Couple of points:

1. cooling going on until 2068 we really need to drill. More and more drilling. Drill until you drop.

2. The natural gas fields that have bee found are a real blessing as we are going to be burning it fast in our homes.


18 posted on 12/09/2011 7:37:18 AM PST by buffaloguy
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To: buffaloguy

[ Couple of points:

1. cooling going on until 2068 we really need to drill. More and more drilling. Drill until you drop.

2. The natural gas fields that have bee found are a real blessing as we are going to be burning it fast in our homes. ]

To Heck with that, Build a Thorium LFTR reactor for every 100,000 people in the world and dump the excess energy that is unused into acres upon acre of plugged electric space heaters....


19 posted on 12/09/2011 11:56:41 AM PST by GraceG
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To: GraceG

And we can build them here. I like the way you think.


20 posted on 12/10/2011 10:00:03 AM PST by buffaloguy
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