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One year to go, make your predictions

Posted on 11/05/2011 6:09:40 PM PDT by Perdogg

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To: campaignPete R-CT

“Get out the vote today”


101 posted on 11/08/2011 2:03:28 PM PST by GOPsterinMA (And who doesn't have baggage?)
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To: Impy; Perdogg; fieldmarshaldj; GOPsterinMA; BillyBoy; Clintonfatigued; randita; AuH2ORepublican

we got smashed in CT. Lost everywhere. What do we do now, reload? Reload for what?


102 posted on 11/09/2011 7:50:11 AM PST by campaignPete R-CT (I will go back to New Hampshire to campaign.)
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To: campaignPete R-CT

Yeah, I see we gained nada in CT. The lemmings there seem to love their fascist Governor and the Communist Party. The sane people have voted with their feet.


103 posted on 11/09/2011 8:50:58 AM PST by fieldmarshaldj (Rick Perry has more red flags than a May Day Parade)
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To: campaignPete R-CT

Welcome to how I feel.


104 posted on 11/09/2011 9:24:30 AM PST by GOPsterinMA (And who doesn't have baggage?)
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To: campaignPete R-CT; randita; Impy; Perdogg; fieldmarshaldj; GOPsterinMA; BillyBoy; ...

The elections were a mosaic, not favoring one party or the other as a whole. It depended largely on what region the elections were. It looks like we did well in Virginia, though not as well as hoped earlier. Mississippi was mostly a sweep, Kentucky was mostly a flop. Ohio rejected the reforms that Republicans passed, but also rejected ObamaCare.

Every election cycle is unique. I was hoping that next year would be 2010 redux, but that was too much to hope for.


105 posted on 11/09/2011 3:07:27 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (Illegal aliens collect welfare checks that Americans won't collect)
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To: Clintonfatigued; campaignPete R-CT

“Every election cycle is unique. I was hoping that next year would be 2010 redux, but that was too much to hope for.”

Anyone that thinks 2012 is going to be a cakewalk is sorely mistaken. There are too many critters in this country that vote for a living, especially in the “Blue” states.


106 posted on 11/09/2011 3:21:16 PM PST by GOPsterinMA (And who doesn't have baggage?)
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To: Clintonfatigued; Impy; GOPsterinMA; AuH2ORepublican; Clemenza; Crichton

With respect to VA, I believe the Democrats drew the Senate lines, which accounted for our reaching a tie (though with the Lt Gov presiding, a de facto majority of 1 seat) when in fact we took something close to 60% of the votes. The GOP House, conversely, gained an additional 6 seats, now at 2/3rds of the body (and ousting the Dem House Leader), and came close in some others.

MS, we did capture both the House and Senate for the first time since Reconstruction (although the Senate was GOP, the Dems would win it back at election time on a prior occasion or so, not this time).

NJ was apparently a wash in the legislature, with only 1 seat or so looking to have changed hands (which could be considered a positive for Christie, since the incumbent party in the Gov’s office usually loses seats at midterm... and the Dems drew the lines).


107 posted on 11/09/2011 3:59:23 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (Rick Perry has more red flags than a May Day Parade)
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To: CodeToad

Only 4 Senate seats? The Dems have what, 22 Senate seats up? GOP should take more than that.


108 posted on 11/09/2011 4:03:55 PM PST by Fledermaus (I'll vote for Mitt Romney when Hell freezes over. He's as bad or worse than Zero.)
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To: Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; GOPsterinMA; AuH2ORepublican; BillyBoy; Crichton; ...

Just saw on article that says the GOP made a “net gain of 5 towns” in the local elections in CT and control 61% of these mostly small towns. Doesn’t mean much though with the state government firmly in rat hands.

But the second party in Hartford is now the Working Families Party (imported from NY?) no GOP on the city council. Is this like the DC council with the guaranteed seats for a minority party?

If we hang on the VA Senate (there must a RINO they could bribe to switch) is it possible to do reredraw of the districts? Getting 60% of the votes and half the seats is a travesty.

Kentucky sucks, film at 11. 1 GOP winner statewide taking over the Aggie post from RINO Ritchie Farmer. I hope he’s a good guy.

I haven’t heard that the MS House is official yet with several close races but it shouldn’t be a problem (on election night and the morning after there were zero articles I could find so I just counted seats looking at the results). We can probably expect some of the customary post takeover party switches to pad the majority. The rat AG won easily. The AG offices always seem to be the last to fall.

What ticks me off the most is direct democracy screwing us in Ohio (union limits) and Maine (same day voter registration). Can’t we just pass those bills again? Make those rotters file their petitions again.

Bottom line is this was all local, I don’t see any national wind. In fact in this 2011-2007-2003 cycle there usually isn’t much of one.

We should remember most of our gains in 2010 were in swing or GOP areas we should had earlier or did have an lost in 2006 and 2008, didn’t make much of a dent in the rattier places.

The POTUS race will be close but we should have a leg up if we don’t mess up.


109 posted on 11/11/2011 12:20:44 AM PST by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: Impy

This is generalizing, but at the local level it appears that most Rats just want to dig out of financial trouble by proposing tax increases. Tax increases on the ballot are being voted down, even if they’re for infrastructure, libraries, or chuldrun.

In Lehigh and Delaware Counties (PA), the GOP did really well on Tues., taking most if not all county seats. That’s due to the tax increases the Rats were trying to push through.

Used to be that if a tax increase was for the chuldrun, it automatically passed. No more, it seems. People are fed up with taxes and with more of their income going to pay for the necessities, they don’t have any leftover for this nonsense.


110 posted on 11/11/2011 5:11:43 AM PST by randita (I'm not a percentage. I'm a free person.)
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To: Impy

Re the Ohio union limits.

I agree with those who think the legislature bit off too much. Perhaps they were emboldened by WI. Starting with teachers, as WI did, would probably have gotten the camel’s nose into the tent. It’s too easy to demagogue police and firefighter cuts. Most people think those are the good guys.

Eventually, police and firefighter benefits are going to have to be tackled. They’re more out of line than those of teachers, IMO.

Hopefully, OH hasn’t poisoned the waters on the issue for good. Kasich should just issue layoff notices and make it clear that the budget has to be balanced and the voters made his decision for him.

I don’t know if it’s wise to bring the issue back up in 2012 as it would rile up Rats again and be an added impetus to get them to the polls. In 2012, it would be better if the only reason the Rats came out would be to vote for Obama (which many of them are probably not too enthused about doing).


111 posted on 11/11/2011 5:19:07 AM PST by randita (I'm not a percentage. I'm a free person.)
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To: campaignPete R-CT

IMO, there are going to be flip flops for several election cycles to come. Many states are in dire financial shape. Look at RI, e.g. I doubt CT is a whole lot better although the well heeled in CT near NYC are probably helping to keep that state afloat.

Whoever is in charge, Rat or GOP, is going to be forced to make very unpopular decisions about either raising taxes, cutting services, or both. The bearer of bad news is going to punished at the polls the next election cycle. The heavily Rat places will go down the tubes without making a change in leadership, but the swing places will not.


112 posted on 11/11/2011 5:25:56 AM PST by randita (I'm not a percentage. I'm a free person.)
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To: Impy

we may have gained 5 hamlets, but we lost all the bigger cities that had GOP mayors.

“Is this like the DC council with the guaranteed seats for a minority party?” YES, minority party has guarantees in many. Board of ED statewide has minority guarantees.


113 posted on 11/11/2011 8:55:45 AM PST by campaignPete R-CT (I will go back to New Hampshire to campaign.)
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To: randita

in much CT, no flip flops. The DEMS use state funds to finance their campaigns, ie. Acorn, and there is no opposition now. I need to go out of town to organize in a place where we can win.


114 posted on 11/11/2011 9:02:54 AM PST by campaignPete R-CT (I will go back to New Hampshire to campaign.)
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To: campaignPete R-CT; fieldmarshaldj; BillyBoy; AuH2ORepublican

Yeah that makes it very easy as long as the rat advantage is large enough to run a proxy party like Working Families or “independents” like in DC to get liberals into those “minority seats”.


115 posted on 11/13/2011 5:24:20 AM PST by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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