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I just sent an answer to your question (post # 134) and then saw this post. I may have given you an answer to the wrong question. Sorry!

Well you can check that post out too anyway. It was actually fun to write, even though I did change your hypothetical! :)

As for Cain dropping out and who they would go towards, I have no clue. I can’t figure out how they think at this point.

After the last debate here on FR, when so many Cain supporters were starting to drop him from their radar (too recent to be in the polling cycles yet, so we’ll see if that really happened), it seemed like about 1/3 of his disenfranchised supporters were considering migrating over to Newt, about 1/3 to Perry, and the rest seemed to either wanted to wait to think about it, didn’t know what to think, or to possibly give Cain another chance but with an eye for what he does in the near future. That last 1/3 of concerned folk were just not sure what to do at that point that night.

Check out my other answer to you (the one after I told you I couldn’t envision it at all.) It was actually fun thinking about it and writing an answer, even if I have no idea if I was right or not!

Thanks for the interesting time here with your question!