The odds of being hit by lightening are 1 in 1,000,000 in a given year and lightening is going on somewhere on a daily basis. Add to that the earth is 70% water and only 28% of the remaining 30% total land mass is populated and I'm thinking those odds are off. More phony panic being created?
Just thinking out loud and ducking for cover as it comes down....
With all the moozlum “outreach” at NASA maybe some moozlums can “catch” it for us.
This 1 in 3,200 is the chance that out of 6+ billion people, someone will get hit by debris, the odds that there will be at least one person. By comparison, the odds that at least one person on Earth will be struck by lightning are almost 100% - the chance that no one at all will get struck in the next year are 0%.
The math for this would be 1 - the chance of an individual getting hit (say, 1 - 0.00000000005 = .99999999995), taken to the power of the number of people on Earth (and remember that when fractions less than 1 are multiplied together, they move towards 0), then that value subtracted from 1.
I agree - waaaay to high. Unless they're not telling us the whole truth... like there's 3,000 of them and they're all coming down ten minutes apart...and each of them weighs 20 tons... and no part of the orbit goes over water... and...and... and....
It is a 1 in 3200 chance of hitting any one of the 6-7 billion people on the planet. The chances of hitting one person in particular (you or me for example) are immensely greater.