Janice Dean the Weather Machine was saying this morning that the bulk of the “models” show Nate running north and hitting around Louisiana.
We are willing to sacrifice Houston for a mid level hurricane.
We need the rain that bad in Central TX.
Plus Houston could use a good bath.
After 36-48 hours...the model spread becomes increasingly large...as
subtle differences in the strength and orientation of a mid/upper-level low
and trough extending from the Ohio Valley southwestward have significant
implications on the future track of the cyclone. The latest GFS and GFDL
models...which show a slightly deeper trough...move Nate northward
toward the northern Gulf Coast. The ECMWF and NOGAPS models depict
a weaker trough that does not capture Nate and allows it turn turn
westward toward Mexico to the south of a building ridge...although it
should be noted that there is considerable spread among the ECMWF
ensemble members.