This is from the NWS in New Orleans! THE NEXT THING IN THE OFFING IS POSSIBLY EXTRA OR ACTUALLY TROPICAL
IN NATURE. IT DOES NOT MATTER TOO MUCH WHICH CATEGORY WE GIVE IT
SINCE WIND SPEED IS WIND SPEED REGARDLESS. WE WILL BEGIN TO SHOW AN
UPWARD BUMP IN WIND SPEEDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TOWARD THE
WEEKEND. A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WILL
COLLIDE WITH A STALLED FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF. THIS WILL
ACTIVATE THE FRONT TO MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH. AN UPPER TROUGH DIGS
SLIGHTLY OVER THE MID-WEST THEN LIFTS LEAVING THE GULF LOW BEHIND AS
A MID AND UPPER LEVEL HIGH BUILDS OVER IT. THIS WILL CAUSE THE LOW
TO DRIFT AS STEERING CURRENTS WEAKEN. THE MAJOR IMPACTS EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME IS WIND SPEEDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...A HIGHER
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING RAINFALL...COASTAL FLOODING...AND TROPICAL
WATERSPOUTS/TORNADIC SPINUPS.
One of the latest model runs has it moving slow and right into Houston http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/animate/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!72!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2005101800!!!step/