Doesn't matter HOW bad things are, if he runs, Obama will get a minimum of 40% of the vote in 2012. Period. End of statement. Doesn't matter if they're voting for BO because he's black, or they vote straight ticket Dem, or because their Daddy is a Republican and "They'll Show Him!!!", or what. The trick for us is going to be finding a candidate to support who will get 1% more.