I just renewed mine, after 2 years of letting it lapse. It took about 3-4 weeks to get the new one. The neighbor across the street said it took 4 weeks for his first one.
I renewed mine and saw the 4-6 week processing time. Got it in 10 days. Wife had to reapply - she lost her original, got a replacement and let it expire. Same processing time message - less than 3 weeks to receive it...red