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KRAUTHAMMER’S “HANDICAPPING THE 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ODDS”
DickMorris.com ^ | 4/25/2011 | Dick Morris

Posted on 04/26/2011 12:34:27 PM PDT by Signalman

Charles Krauthammer is the columnist I respect the most for his values, insights, and political sense. So let’s use his column “Handicapping the 2012 Presidential Odds” as a starting point for my own assessment of the current field.

Charles begins by dissing Donald Trump and dismissing Michele Bachmann. Sorry Charles but wrong and wronger. Trump will run as a Republican with a damn good chance of winning the nomination. He appeals more to moderates and Independents than to stalwart Republicans but he captures the hearts and minds of the outside-of-the-beltway crowd with his blunt outspokenness and a raft of experience deep enough to show up a former community organizer.

Bachmann is also a front tier contender. She wows them on the stump, has a lead in fund raising, appeals to the Tea Party folks, and stood up and voted against the phony Boehner-Reid-Obama budget deal. She’s the real deal.

He correctly dismisses Mitt Romney because of Romneycare in Massachusetts. He won’t win New Hampshire. Last time he didn’t win New Hampshire and he’s got to win New Hampshire.

Newt Gingrich is also in Krauthammer’s front tier. He’s improved a lot lately. Likely most Republicans (including me) believe it would be great if this articulate, brilliant man could be our nominee. So let’s all hope he overcomes the negatives.

But Krauthammer’s main mistake is flatly saying that Mike Huckabee won’t run. Then what is he doing crisscrossing the country going to all the primary states? Think he likes the fishing in New Hampshire? My bet is he runs and that he’s got a great chance to be the nominee….and the next president.

Then Charles, his view obscured by Washington DC’s buildings, says Haley Barbour, Mitch Daniels, and Tim Pawlenty are first tier candidates. Barbour can’t run if Huckabee does. He won’t beat him in a single southern state. In the rest of the nation, his lobbyist record kills him. Pawlenty would be good but, as Governor of Minnesota, his Housing Finance Agency set up a Shariah compliant lending fund to enable Muslims to buy homes without paying interest (the state paid it and they paid the state back through a lease-purchase deal). After eighteen months, he ended the program. He claims he didn’t know about it. Didn’t know? There were protests at every Agency meeting. Eileen and I wrote about it in Catastrophe which sold 300,000 copies! If he didn’t know, he’s a bad Governor. If he knew, he’d be a bad president.

Mitch Daniels would be great. He’s done wonders in Indiana, most recently passing the best school choice program in America. Mitch walks the walk! But I don’t think he’s running. He sure didn’t seem like a candidate to me when we met a few weeks ago. But, he would be great.

So, the betting here is that the first tier is Huckabee, Gingrich, Romney, Trump, and Bachmann. I don’t think Palin can run if Bachmann and Huckabee do. I think Huck wins Iowa. Somebody beats Romney in NH and then Gingrich, Huckabee, Trump and Bachmann duke it out down the stretch.

Charles got it mainly right but a bit wrong. That’s why he’s my favorite.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: krauthammer; morris

1 posted on 04/26/2011 12:34:32 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Signalman

Bachmann Palin Overdrive.


2 posted on 04/26/2011 12:35:59 PM PDT by library user (Just because you're homeless doesn't mean you're lazy.)
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To: Signalman

Dick Morris excels - at promoting himself.

Not that there’s anything wrong with that.

I like Ms. Bachmann very much, but her voice is a problem for me. Perhaps it’s the regionalism?

Smart lady and has a backbone.


3 posted on 04/26/2011 12:43:53 PM PDT by RexBeach
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To: Signalman

krauthammer is part of the washington establishment.

jealous of outsiders.


4 posted on 04/26/2011 12:44:43 PM PDT by ken21 (dem taxes + regs + unions = jobs overseas.)
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To: library user

Trump bachmann


5 posted on 04/26/2011 12:47:04 PM PDT by databoss
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To: Signalman
Trump might win the nomination, ala McCain and Democratic voters, but he will never win the presidency. Too many conservatives would walk away after seeing how many “liberal” policies he supports.
6 posted on 04/26/2011 12:48:07 PM PDT by wbarmy (I chose to be a sheepdog once I saw what happens to the sheep.)
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To: Signalman

I desperately want to rid America of the Marxists now in control. I will vote for ANYBODY who can defeat the evil force destroying our nation. Without a Republican victory in 2012, all else is moot.


7 posted on 04/26/2011 12:49:20 PM PDT by July4 (Remember the price paid for your freedom.)
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To: library user

So ... Dick Morris doesn’t have enough sense to mention Sarah Palin ... a wildly popular American woman swinging out daily against the pure evil we now have running America.

Popular? You bet! Take a look at her Los Angeles welcome in October 2008 ... at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OuWuUWgs_WY

Caution ... Turn your sound down.


8 posted on 04/26/2011 12:53:05 PM PDT by OldNavyVet (One trillion days, at 365 days per year, is 2,739,726,027 years ... almost 3 billion years)
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To: Signalman


Cabbagepounder a/k/a Dr. Strangelove is an idiot.
9 posted on 04/26/2011 12:56:15 PM PDT by Emperor Palpatine (One of these days, Alice....one of these days.....POW!! Right in the kisser!!!!)
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To: Signalman

“then Gingrich, Huckabee, Trump and Bachmann duke it out down the stretch. “

Normally I would semi agree with Dick but I don’t think Huck can afford to give up the TV show. He is building a multi million dollar house in Fla. He needs the money. I also believe that if Trump gets in he will suck all the air out of the room and nobody will be listening to anyone else besides Trump. It will be hard for Bachmann (who I really like) and Newt to compete for air time with Donald. They simply will not stick their necks out and say what they think. They are politicians.
Just my opinion I could be wrong.


10 posted on 04/26/2011 12:56:24 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: Signalman

Dick Morris: toe-sucking whoremonger/self promoter.
Charles Krauthammer: arrogant beltway insider who once wrote speeches for Mondale.


11 posted on 04/26/2011 1:01:27 PM PDT by dainbramaged (Courage is fear holding on a minute longer - George S. Patton)
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To: wbarmy
Trump might win the nomination, ala McCain and Democratic voters, but he will never win the presidency. Too many conservatives would walk away after seeing how many “liberal” policies he supports.

I'm not wild about Trump either and agree with your comparison of him with McCain.

However I would vote for the devil himself over Obama. I'm getting real tired of holding my nose and voting for a liberal or moderate Republican, but I will vote for whoever is running against our current president.

12 posted on 04/26/2011 1:03:00 PM PDT by Retired COB (Still mad about Campaign Finance Reform)
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To: Signalman

What do you mean “our nominee”, Mr. Morris?

Is it anything like the times Bill Clinton was “our nominee”?


13 posted on 04/26/2011 1:06:28 PM PDT by WayneS (Enlightened statesmen will not always be at the helm. -- James Madison)
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To: Signalman

Dick Morris’ predictions are awful.

How’s Condi versus Hillary selling these days?


14 posted on 04/26/2011 1:19:37 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: Signalman
Trump just told Hannity today (April.26,2011) on his radio show, that supporting the wealth tax -— Trump's proposal to tax the rich an additional 14.5% -— and his support for a universal health care with a single payer plan run by the government -— a plan similar to the current Canadian health care plan -— WAS NOT a mistake. Trump said the times were different and the economy was good.

That means if Trump became potus and the economy improved, he would push for a plan like RomneyCare and ObamaCare. Call it, TrumpCare. And Trump would push for more taxes too.

Trump proves one more time. at his core beliefs, he is a political liberal. Maybe even a bleeding heart liberal.

15 posted on 04/26/2011 1:42:52 PM PDT by Reagan Man ("In this present crisis, government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem.")
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To: Signalman

I lost it for Morris when he said, “Hillary will win the nomination and she will win the Presidential election.”


16 posted on 04/26/2011 1:46:28 PM PDT by thefactor (yes, as a matter of fact, i DID only read the excerpt)
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To: library user

Bachmann Trump Overdrive......;)


17 posted on 04/26/2011 1:55:32 PM PDT by ScreamingFist (Quiet the Idiot)
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To: Signalman

there is only one person that will be President, and Sarah is her name.


18 posted on 04/26/2011 2:06:27 PM PDT by The Wizard (Madam President is my President now, and in the future)
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To: Signalman
So let’s use his column “Handicapping the 2012 Presidential Odds” as a starting point for my own assessment of the current field.

Let's just stick with Charles' opinions, hmm?

Dick's never right.

19 posted on 04/26/2011 2:52:35 PM PDT by martin_fierro (< |:)~)
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To: Signalman

Isn’t it insensitive for Morris to use the word “handicapping” when referring to Krauthammer? If “targetting” is banned....


20 posted on 04/26/2011 9:53:51 PM PDT by Defiant (When Democrats lose voters, they manufacture new voters instead of convincing the existing voters.)
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