Re 10, Egypt has virtually no oil, is on the Mediterranean, therefore impact to oil production and delivery negligible.
Just say’n. . .
Nice summary.
Oil production, no. Oil delivery, yes. They fully control the Suez. If the Suez becomes an unreliable shipping channel, it will play havoc with the oil market, and other commercial markets as well.
Oil would go up on speculation.
Radicals have a way of “rising’ to the top in the ME these days.