[adorno]

Why Apple Will Be The First Company to Reach a Trillion Dollar Market Cap

Love can oftentimes make people do and say insane things.

My prediction:

Apple's products, whatever the category, will continue to rule until the markets catch up with them in any of their currently successful categories.

Then, within 3 to 5 years, Apple's lineup, no matter which, whether in smartphones or computers or tablets or music players, will settle back down to the 5 to 10% percentile range, right about where the Macs were for the longest time.

Sanity usually brings people back down to earth and Apple will return to being in 3rd or 4th or 5th place in the computer/technology sector, and that's in both sales and market-cap.

[stripes1776]

Apple's products, whatever the category, will continue to rule until the markets catch up with them in any of their currently successful categories.

Your prediction assumes that Apple is finished coming out with innovative products. And other companies just have to copy Apple and then Apple's share will drop. But I think there is a huge problem with the assumption that Apple is finished innovating.

The next time you go to a news stand, you might want to look at the current issue of "Mac|Life" to see where Apple might be headed in the future with game-changing gadgets. They develop stuff for years in their labs before the public sees any products.

[Behemothpanzer]

iPod launched Oct 23, 2001 - 9 years ago.

Most recent data I could easily find was for September of 2009 when iPod had a 73.8% market share.

That’s almost a decade for the industry to catch up and they’re nowhere close.

iPhone launched Jan 9, 2007 and as of this summer had a 28% market share, trailing only BlackBerry in the smartphone category.

iPad has a deadly 95.5% market share. Clearly, it’s the first out of the gate, but don’t underestimate that importance. iPod was, essentially, the first of the digital music players and it’s dominance is unmatched.

[Mind-numbed Robot]

Apple's products, whatever the category, will continue to rule until the markets catch up with them in any of their currently successful categories.

By the time the rest catch up to where Apple is now Apple will have gone on to the next step or two, leaving them in the dust once again. Look at the continuity in the evolution of Apple products, the new building on the previous. Do you think they haven't thought beyond this point? Don't be silly.