[Mojave]

Is your basic point that the health care mandate will survive SCOTUS review? That they will be hard-pressed to invalidate the health care mandate without touching SS/Medicare?

That's my guess. Given some of their decisions, I'm not making any bets though.

[publiusF27]

I agree with Mojave that it will survive SCOTUS review. We seem to disagree about why. I’m just counting votes on the commerce issue, and I count at least 5 in favor of accepting the Congress’ findings of fact saying that this is a regulation of interstate commerce. Game over. We know which way the left-leaning Justices will go, and it’s at least possible that Roberts, Alito, Scalia and Thomas will not accept their opinion. That leaves Kennedy, who made it pretty clear in his Lopez concurrence that he thinks Congress continually defines the scope of their own power and there is no problem with that that a voting booth can’t solve.

Seems like mob rule to me, but not to him.