Who doesn’t have more cred than those three srooges?
Nor di Bernanke or Greenspan see any recessions coming.....as they made rosy predictions based on their own accessment of their ability to control the economy....
Taleb explained his simple metric for judging whose economic opinions are worth his time: “Did someone predict the crisis before it happened? ... If the answer is no, I don’t want to hear what the person says. If the person saw the crisis coming, then I want to hear what they have to say.”
Other unlucky economic figures who failed Taleb’s test included writers Paul Krugman and Thomas Friedman.