Really a candidate for 2012 will have to announce within a year (by ~ March 2011) to avoid the Fred Thompson fate, which I see as the Romney/McCain-nightmare scenario. It goes : (2011) Palin doesnt announce, Romney is leading in polls, Palin is pushed in by supporters too late October 2011, ...Romney gets it, conservative voters stay home, Obama wins
But to your point about things changing, it makes me wonder why there appears to be a civil war on this current hypothetical scenario(Palin vs Romney) given we know things will change in a year or so.
I hate what Romney stands for (RINO politics, not America 1st) and I love what Palin stands for (just the opposite of what Romney stands for).
I don't know what's going to happen, but it sure seems like Palin's interested in getting into something with her leaving the governorship to basically be a clear conservative voice in this ever-increasingly muddled-message universe of ours. I sure hope she runs if she hasn't decided to already. If she feels pressure, so be it. So did Reagan, who at first didnt want to run for Governor in California. After that, there was no looking back.
Romney would be a disaster. Someone needs to come along and reverse the Bush-Obama big government/economic disaster. I think Palin would do her best. If she feels pressure, maybe thats good. As far as the Thompson thing, Thompsons failure was mainly, it seemed pretty obvious, that he didnt want to be there (strong hints his wife made him run kind of funny, really) and his heart wasnt in it. He seemed relieved to be off the list of contenders.
Palin, I would expect, would be more like Reagan, and if she decided to go for it (seems like she already has, but maybe not) would go full bore, never look back, and take this thing. If Sarah stays Sarah and speaks from her God-loving and America-loving heart to the regular guy and gal the way Reagan did, thered be no stopping her, in my view.
Nothing is going to change in the GOP Primary...look at the history of the GOP Primaries.
The Establishment in the GOP have chosen their loser, Mitt.