I don't think our intelligence organizations are all that enamored with Obama, considering his attacks on the CIA. And I'm sure Poland's and other intelligence agencies aren't beholden to him in the least.
The motive offered so far has to do with Poland’s pressing to develop its shale energy reserves, thus lessening Europe’s dependence on Russia and Gazprom.
For it to be a motive, it would be necessary to show how these deaths benefit Putin or Russia. For all we know, the next Polish president may be even more gungho to develop its shale energy.
Maybe Putin had this done. If he did, it was sloppy and he made it easy to prove - like explosive residue in the wreckage or radio transmissions that contradict their version of events. There are far simplier ways to get rid of a person than blowing up a plane with a hundred extras on it in the middle of an event that millions of Polish and Russian citizens are paying alot of attention to.
We'll know the actual cause of this plane crash, one way or another.
Not if Putin doesn’t want us to we won’t.
He’s heading the investigation remember.
I’m not even guessing that Russia was involved, but I’m not so certain we’ll necessarily learn the truth of the crash, either.