I wouldnt say he's "lucky." His story is truly inspirational and he has earned his way back to being a contender. He grapples better than anyone in the HW, but i just see Carwin being in the same fashion as Lesnar. If carwin gets on top, how does a grappler stop the bombs (each one could KO him) long enough to twist him in a position that Gumbys dominatrix would be proud of? If I hae to pick, I saw Carwin, but will not be sad if Mir wins. They will meet again, for a belt.
I'm waiting patiently for the Machida/Hua rematch.