They have Reagan losing to Carter by 25 points, just 6 months before he beat Cater by 10 points in popular vote and 489 to 49 in the EC.
The article mentions that Gov. Ronald Reagan left a $500 million surplus for his replacement Jerry Brown in 1974. Reagan is long deceased, but Jerry Brown is running for governor again in 2010 . . barf. And he has a 50 percent chance of winning!