| When Obama's number go up for some unknown reason, you have to wonder WHY. Is it because of the Oprah/Obama Christmas special when the sheep are fed even more OR is it that ObamaCare may be failing (despite his best attempts to revive it)? Every time Obama sets a new plateau of unavailability — just wait — he'll do something else that will make America dislike and distrust him even more. |
Probably.
Goood news is, he is still 45% Approve/54% Disapprove overall, giving him Approve/Disapprove of -9, so he hasn't really made made much progress.
And that Oprah bounce from the warm fuzzy interview will melt away faster than snow on a hot day.
Daily number swings can be explained with one word: variance. What he does has very little to do with the day to day polling. What he does affects the trends.
Day to day polling is affected by outliers (like what we saw on Friday’s daily results I would imagine) which is why it is important to look at daily polling with an eye to the weekly or monthly trend.