They can’t really pass this with reconciliation. It won’t work. Everything passed with that way has to expire in 5 years, plus it only applies to budget measures, so most of the bill couldn’t be passed that way anyway.
Do you seriously think that just because the rules say that it has to expire in 5 years that they won’t come up with a new rule to attach to a military spending bill? And once it is passed, the media will scream bloody murder that we are “killing the weakest and poorest of society” by letting this expire.