[EmilyGeiger]

I still think he will be safe. But week 4 can be weird. It’s the same week Daughtry was eliminated after McPhee stank up the stage. That's also the week they showed a real clear preference for Daughtry over the others (the judges) and I believe the fan bases of the other 3 came out in droves to protect their favorite. The same may happen again this year with Adam, which would be nice to me... I was mad at the judges Chris' year though, because I liked him, Elliot, and Taylor and wanted that to be the top 3, but their bias was over the top obvious and it did Daughtry in. IMHO

[Nea Wood]

That's also the week they showed a real clear preference for Daughtry over the others (the judges) and I believe the fan bases of the other 3 came out in droves to protect their favorite. The same may happen again this year with Adam, which would be nice to me... I was mad at the judges Chris' year though, because I liked him, Elliot, and Taylor and wanted that to be the top 3, but their bias was over the top obvious and it did Daughtry in. IMHO

Great comments. I think there's another factor that we tend not to consider, and that helped bring about Daughtry's "shocking" elimination. It's the fact that the last person voted off before Daughtry was Paris Bennett. It's not likely that Paris's fans would have switched their votes to Daughtry. They might've switched to Taylor, since he and Paris were known to be good friends. Or they might've switched to Katharine if they wanted a girl to win. But they probably didn't switch to Chris, since his music was so different from Paris's and there was no "connection" there.

The person voted off last week was Matt. So who did the Matt fans switch their votes to last night? That's a factor that could make a difference.