This is the problem I have with people like you. I'm reminded of the Brendan Frazier case that got dumped by the court because the police investigation went no further than to confirm their original suppositions were at least plausible.
You talk about facts, but where are the facts to tie this particular home to that particular crime to the exclusion of the myriad of other possible locations for the stolen items?
You claim the raid was justified, but on what basis. I can tell you my neighbor has an A10 Warthog in his garage. Does that make hitting his home with a hellfire missle "justified?"
“Taking the info at face value” was the key part. It makes your three paragraphs after that pretty meaningless.