[jas3]

Lion grossed over $700M. Prince grossed over $400M. So yes, there was a drop off, but $400M+ movies aren’t exactly failures, or even easy to find...

What were the projected production costs of "Voyage"? And if you draw a trend line, the third film would only gross $100M+ worldwide. After production, distribution, and marketing costs, "Voyage" is certainly no sure thing.

jas3

[Oztrich Boy]

Lion grossed over $700M. Prince grossed over $400M. So yes, there was a drop off, but $400M+ movies aren’t exactly failures, or even easy to find...

Foreign Gross doesn't matter. It might be nice for the studio, but if a film doesn't make its money back domestic, there won't be enough pie to make it worthwhile for the distributors and exhibitors who don't share foreign.

LWW 180M to make, 290M domestic. More importantly opening weekend $18,000/screen, still over $1000 weekend 16.

Prince Caspian 200M to make, 140M domestic. Opening weekend $14000/screen, down to 1000 after 10-11 weeks.

[CharlesWayneCT]

Actually, you would expect the 3rd movie to do as well as the 2nd. The first gets a lot of bump from people who don’t know about it, and who are drawn into the hype. The 2nd movie will be mostly people who care enough about the story to spend money a 2nd time. Those people are likely to follow through with all the subsequent movies, so long as they don’t screw them up.