Who’s predicting, the same ones who so accurately predicted a McCain’t landslide?
I guess I had too much faith in the american people.
In 2004, I took a weighted average of the RCP polls and got 49-47. I Zogby sauced my prediction because I thought Bush was underpolling. Had I evenly allocated my Undecideds I would have gotten 51-49. I also thought Bush would win Pennsylvania and Minnesota in 2004.
2006, I blew it
2008, I thought +7 dem oversampling was unrealistic since historically the most was +4%. I thought the GOP would be fired up to vote against Obama, boy was I wrong.
My NFL predictions this year was horrible.