I agree. My memory of the Carter administration is that all economic indicators headed straight down until the election of Reagan. When he ended his term, inflation was at 12%, unemployment at 8%, interest rates at 18%, and gold at $6-700/oz. (equivalent to $1400 today).
Since Obama's policies promise to be the same, I don't expect a different result.
I think there will be at least one difference. Unemployment will be into double digits.