[nmh]

Yes, they are weighted polls AGAINST the GOP.

They are trying to demoralize the GOP.

Don't fall for it.

Get out and VOTE and get others on board.

We can NOT afford the Obomination.

[fatima]

I know someone who was just polled by someone who knocked on the door..They asked how they were voting and they were told pro-life.So the pollster said then I should put you down for McCain.The pollster said out of 15 people they talked to only 4 were leaning and the rest had not made up their mind.They felt it was a waste of time to do this because no one was telling the truth.:)

[yldstrk]

I feel like I am in the twilight zone.

[uscabjd]

Are ALL the polls weighted against the Reps? A few weeks ago, McC was on top - are you saying all the polls conspired to change all at once, and all at the same rate?

[az_gila]

*Every Registered voter is included in the likely voter model, and is assigned a probability of voting, which is used to calculate the likely voter results. The sum of these probabilities is the effective number of likely voters.

---

That's interesting....
I thought that they just asked each respondent “are you likely to vote this election?”, and that made them a likely voter, just like the on-line Zogby poll.

But perhaps that's too logical....:^)

[Warlord]

Also, consider the weighted of subgroups within the dem sample. From what I've read, pollsters are sampling African Americans more aggressively than in the past. This is part of the story.

[Frantzie]

You mentioned that the methodlogy assumes that Repubs are 3 times less likely to show up?? Insane.

Almost every Pres election we hear how Repubs wil “crawl across glass” to vote for the Repub candidate. This year it is true. People on my street (S FL) has 2 1/2 times the number of McCain signs versus Bush 2000 or 2004. No one brought them around - these people went and got them. I picked up my sign last night and the guy behind me wanted a McCain-PALIN sign. It had to be with Palin on it.

The MSM is milking this for the money. They make hundreds of millions during elections. Lib newspapers are dying and network TV is suffering. they need this money so they will try to prop Obama up. Obama is spending his offshore donations as fast as the Sa*dis can send it.

Gore, Dukakis, Kerry were all up in Ocotber. Ford only barely lost to Carter. Clinton won because he was a moderate and Perot sabatoaged the Repubs. At least 35% of the Dem base does not like Obama.

Important Point:
These polls I think are ignoring Hillary voters who hate Obama and most will be voting McCain. Do not believe these polls. I was on Huffington Post during the primaries and the Obama people were horrible towards Hillary and Hillary voters. They were thugs.

Ignore the polls, the MSM. Contribute and volunteer for McCain-PALIN 2008.

Freedom is not free. we have a lot of work to do in the next 30 days. No whining. Sarah is in the field now and she is about to make Obama and Biden’s life miserable. Since nomination she had to prep for the deabte and made a few appearances. Now she is in the fight and people lover her. She sacres the hell out of the libs and MSM.

[AZLiberty]

These false polls also increase the strength with which the left will claim the election was “stolen”, and undercut the legitimacy of the Republican winners.

[meadsjn]

The DEM strategy is "win at any cost". Lie, cheat, steal, fraud, project, rinse, repeat...

Simple question: Why are the leftists in among us so incensed and threatened by a VP candidate who touts anti-corruption as one of her main points?

The answer is just as simple. Corruption is not only rampant among the Democrat left -- everything the left advocates is corruption in one form or another.

[Kevmo]

bmflr